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Chesapeake Bay Watershed and State of Maryland Climate Projections
 

These projections are PRELIMINARY. You must check back frequently to determine whether you have the most recent estimates.

Last changed January 9, 2008

Chesapeake Bay Surface Temperature
Excel File - the excel file includes both percent anomaly and absolute anomaly
sst
Notes:

- SST is based on a linear regression between model surface air temperature and observed bay temperature. The regression is:

sst(C)=0.82976*tas+0.30168*(tas 2 months prior)+1.63802

Adjusted R-squared: 0.9649
p-value: < 2.2e-16

- This regression is not general, and is specific to the model air temperature with its inherent errors and biasses.

- Although the sst is similar to air temperature, the magnitudes are slightly larger, and the summer and fall conditions more similar.